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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Austin Toros SpursHOME · -
104 : 1092016.03.18 · 종료
Rio Grande Valley VipersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.3%
VALUE EDGE+54.3%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Austin Toros SpursAnalysis MetricsRio Grande Valley Vipers
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +0.25
214.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 228.58
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation3.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Austin Toros Spurs
L · 107-99L · 100-90W · 92-96W · 93-102W · 103-89
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
W · 142-121L · 131-114W · 113-115L · 112-120W · 106-118

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.07Rio Grande Valley Vipers116 : 120Austin Toros Spurs
2017.02.04Rio Grande Valley Vipers103 : 108Austin Toros Spurs
2017.01.19Austin Toros Spurs119 : 100Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2017.01.07Rio Grande Valley Vipers126 : 118Austin Toros Spurs
2016.12.24Austin Toros Spurs116 : 97Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2016.04.10Austin Toros Spurs89 : 88Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2016.04.08Austin Toros Spurs116 : 91Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2016.03.18Austin Toros Spurs104 : 109Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2016.02.17Rio Grande Valley Vipers101 : 96Austin Toros Spurs
2016.02.10Austin Toros Spurs103 : 117Rio Grande Valley Vipers