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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Northern Arizona SunsHOME · -
93 : 1022016.03.09 · 종료
Austin Toros SpursAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.7%
VALUE EDGE+57.7%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Northern Arizona SunsAnalysis MetricsAustin Toros Spurs
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better +2.83
227.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 214.33
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation6.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Northern Arizona Suns
L · 124-103W · 104-108L · 111-106W · 106-119L · 126-130
Austin Toros Spurs
W · 103-89W · 110-104L · 90-78L · 91-95L · 101-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.03.30Northern Arizona Suns101 : 114Austin Toros Spurs
2017.02.25Austin Toros Spurs110 : 103Northern Arizona Suns
2017.01.27Austin Toros Spurs123 : 96Northern Arizona Suns
2017.01.21Northern Arizona Suns101 : 106Austin Toros Spurs
2016.03.30Northern Arizona Suns104 : 112Austin Toros Spurs
2016.03.21Austin Toros Spurs73 : 103Northern Arizona Suns
2016.03.09Northern Arizona Suns93 : 102Austin Toros Spurs
2016.01.15Northern Arizona Suns100 : 105Austin Toros Spurs
2015.12.28Austin Toros Spurs96 : 87Northern Arizona Suns
2013.04.15Northern Arizona Suns107 : 114Austin Toros Spurs