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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Raptors 905HOME · -
125 : 1272016.03.04 · 종료
IPFWAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.6%
VALUE EDGE+67.6%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
Raptors 905Analysis MetricsIPFW
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+9.42 Point MarginHigher is better +3.58
207.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 210.08
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
4.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Raptors 905
W · 111-113W · 114-132L · 110-100L · 93-116L · 106-88
IPFW
W · 110-85L · 107-96L · 86-98L · 123-74L · 121-106

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.02.08IPFW105 : 92Raptors 905
2017.01.07IPFW100 : 114Raptors 905
2016.12.02Raptors 905109 : 107IPFW
2016.11.30Raptors 905103 : 121IPFW
2016.03.15Raptors 905101 : 84IPFW
2016.03.04Raptors 905125 : 127IPFW
2015.11.16IPFW112 : 92Raptors 905
2015.11.15IPFW83 : 80Raptors 905