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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Northern Arizona SunsHOME · -
126 : 1302016.02.17 · 종료
Stockton KingsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADES
Northern Arizona SunsAnalysis MetricsStockton Kings
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better +3.75
227.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 237.92
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
11.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
43.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
56.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Northern Arizona Suns
W · 104-101W · 117-107W · 132-111W · 123-108L · 135-138
Stockton Kings
W · 123-129W · 117-105W · 126-103W · 102-91W · 135-138

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.04.02Stockton Kings124 : 116Northern Arizona Suns
2016.12.04Northern Arizona Suns130 : 106Stockton Kings
2016.11.26Northern Arizona Suns87 : 80Stockton Kings
2016.04.03Stockton Kings133 : 127Northern Arizona Suns
2016.04.02Stockton Kings130 : 124Northern Arizona Suns
2016.02.17Northern Arizona Suns126 : 130Stockton Kings
2016.01.29Northern Arizona Suns135 : 138Stockton Kings
2015.12.31Stockton Kings123 : 97Northern Arizona Suns
2015.11.16Northern Arizona Suns119 : 123Stockton Kings
2013.04.02Stockton Kings94 : 124Northern Arizona Suns