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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Austin Toros SpursHOME · -
111 : 922015.12.30 · 종료
Santa Cruz WarriorsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +60.8%
VALUE EDGE+60.8%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Austin Toros SpursAnalysis MetricsSanta Cruz Warriors
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +0.25
214.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 240.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
60.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
39.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Austin Toros Spurs
W · 96-87W · 95-101L · 107-113W · 94-106W · 105-116
Santa Cruz Warriors
L · 107-103L · 82-104L · 107-117W · 99-93W · 108-101

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.03.24Austin Toros Spurs103 : 106Santa Cruz Warriors
2017.02.12Santa Cruz Warriors113 : 100Austin Toros Spurs
2016.12.10Santa Cruz Warriors109 : 103Austin Toros Spurs
2016.03.28Santa Cruz Warriors72 : 98Austin Toros Spurs
2015.12.31Austin Toros Spurs109 : 80Santa Cruz Warriors
2015.12.30Austin Toros Spurs111 : 92Santa Cruz Warriors
2015.11.29Santa Cruz Warriors87 : 98Austin Toros Spurs
2015.11.28Santa Cruz Warriors94 : 92Austin Toros Spurs
2013.04.20Santa Cruz Warriors103 : 97Austin Toros Spurs
2013.04.18Austin Toros Spurs101 : 106Santa Cruz Warriors