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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Rio Grande Valley VipersHOME · -
118 : 1432015.12.05 · 종료
Stockton KingsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.6%
VALUE EDGE+77.6%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEB
Rio Grande Valley VipersAnalysis MetricsStockton Kings
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +3.75
224.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 237.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
L · 109-126W · 117-123W · 125-120L · 101-112W · 110-106
Stockton Kings
L · 106-115W · 109-116W · 97-121L · 114-118L · 113-111

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.01.28Stockton Kings114 : 119Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2016.12.12Rio Grande Valley Vipers114 : 103Stockton Kings
2016.12.02Stockton Kings83 : 103Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2016.11.14Rio Grande Valley Vipers112 : 103Stockton Kings
2016.03.16Rio Grande Valley Vipers142 : 121Stockton Kings
2016.01.14Stockton Kings137 : 105Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2016.01.05Stockton Kings126 : 122Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2015.12.05Rio Grande Valley Vipers118 : 143Stockton Kings
2013.03.11Stockton Kings108 : 120Rio Grande Valley Vipers
2013.01.19Rio Grande Valley Vipers106 : 85Stockton Kings