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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA - D League USA
Northern Arizona SunsHOME · -
105 : 1142015.11.18 · 종료
Coachella Valley LakersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Northern Arizona SunsAnalysis MetricsCoachella Valley Lakers
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better -1.50
227.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 237.67
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Northern Arizona Suns
L · 119-123L · 104-87L · 107-114L · 113-107W · 105-106
Coachella Valley Lakers
W · 104-101W · 121-123L · 113-91L · 125-101W · 114-109

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.03.04Northern Arizona Suns94 : 107Coachella Valley Lakers
2017.02.27Northern Arizona Suns117 : 113Coachella Valley Lakers
2016.12.31Coachella Valley Lakers115 : 105Northern Arizona Suns
2016.03.16Northern Arizona Suns114 : 126Coachella Valley Lakers
2016.03.04Coachella Valley Lakers124 : 103Northern Arizona Suns
2016.01.03Coachella Valley Lakers89 : 95Northern Arizona Suns
2015.12.06Coachella Valley Lakers103 : 108Northern Arizona Suns
2015.12.05Northern Arizona Suns100 : 96Coachella Valley Lakers
2015.11.18Northern Arizona Suns105 : 114Coachella Valley Lakers
2013.03.25Northern Arizona Suns109 : 100Coachella Valley Lakers