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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA · NBA - Quarter-finals
San Antonio SpursHOME · -
97 : 982016.05.03 · 종료
Oklahoma City ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.4%
VALUE EDGE+64.4%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
San Antonio SpursAnalysis MetricsOklahoma City Thunder
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+12.67 Point MarginHigher is better +4.58
226.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 216.25
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Antonio Spurs
W · 124-92W · 95-116W · 87-96W · 94-68W · 106-74
Oklahoma City Thunder
L · 124-92W · 118-104W · 108-119W · 102-131L · 84-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.21San Antonio Spurs104 : 116Oklahoma City Thunder
2025.12.14Oklahoma City Thunder109 : 111San Antonio Spurs
2021.08.17Oklahoma City Thunder116 : 91San Antonio Spurs
2020.02.24Oklahoma City Thunder131 : 103San Antonio Spurs
2020.02.12Oklahoma City Thunder106 : 114San Antonio Spurs
2020.01.03San Antonio Spurs103 : 109Oklahoma City Thunder
2019.11.08San Antonio Spurs121 : 112Oklahoma City Thunder
2017.04.01Oklahoma City Thunder95 : 100San Antonio Spurs
2017.03.10Oklahoma City Thunder102 : 92San Antonio Spurs
2017.02.01San Antonio Spurs108 : 94Oklahoma City Thunder