Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA · NBA - Quarter-finals
Miami HeatHOME · -
106 : 732016.05.02 · 종료
Charlotte HornetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.4%
VALUE EDGE+64.4%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsCharlotte Hornets
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.83
243.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
207.17
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
W · 90-97L · 88-90L · 89-85L · 96-80W · 115-103
Charlotte Hornets
L · 90-97W · 88-90W · 89-85W · 96-80L · 115-103
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.25 | Charlotte Hornets | 115 : 110 | Miami Heat |
| 2020.03.12 | Miami Heat | 98 : 109 | Charlotte Hornets |
| 2019.11.26 | Miami Heat | 117 : 100 | Charlotte Hornets |
| 2019.10.10 | Charlotte Hornets | 94 : 108 | Miami Heat |
| 2018.07.09 | Miami Heat | 90 : 94 | Charlotte Hornets |
| 2017.04.06 | Charlotte Hornets | 99 : 112 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.03.09 | Miami Heat | 108 : 101 | Charlotte Hornets |
| 2016.12.30 | Charlotte Hornets | 91 : 82 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.10.29 | Miami Heat | 91 : 97 | Charlotte Hornets |
| 2016.10.21 | Charlotte Hornets | 96 : 88 | Miami Heat |