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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
88 : 902016.04.28 · 종료
Charlotte HornetsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsCharlotte Hornets
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-5.42 Point MarginHigher is better -14.83
243.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 207.17
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
L · 89-85L · 96-80W · 115-103W · 123-91L · 98-88
Charlotte Hornets
W · 89-85W · 96-80L · 115-103L · 123-91W · 117-103

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.25Charlotte Hornets115 : 110Miami Heat
2020.03.12Miami Heat98 : 109Charlotte Hornets
2019.11.26Miami Heat117 : 100Charlotte Hornets
2019.10.10Charlotte Hornets94 : 108Miami Heat
2018.07.09Miami Heat90 : 94Charlotte Hornets
2017.04.06Charlotte Hornets99 : 112Miami Heat
2017.03.09Miami Heat108 : 101Charlotte Hornets
2016.12.30Charlotte Hornets91 : 82Miami Heat
2016.10.29Miami Heat91 : 97Charlotte Hornets
2016.10.21Charlotte Hornets96 : 88Miami Heat