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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBA USA
Portland Trail BlazersHOME · -
107 : 992016.04.14 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.0%
VALUE EDGE+72.0%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
Portland Trail BlazersAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+4.75 Point MarginHigher is better +3.00
232.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 230.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Portland Trail Blazers
L · 105-106W · 120-115W · 107-115L · 136-111W · 110-93
Denver Nuggets
L · 84-100W · 102-98L · 102-124L · 106-115L · 101-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.03Denver Nuggets110 : 118Portland Trail Blazers
2020.08.07Denver Nuggets115 : 125Portland Trail Blazers
2020.02.05Denver Nuggets127 : 99Portland Trail Blazers
2019.12.13Denver Nuggets114 : 99Portland Trail Blazers
2019.10.24Portland Trail Blazers100 : 108Denver Nuggets
2019.10.18Denver Nuggets110 : 104Portland Trail Blazers
2019.10.09Portland Trail Blazers94 : 105Denver Nuggets
2017.03.29Portland Trail Blazers122 : 113Denver Nuggets
2016.12.16Denver Nuggets132 : 120Portland Trail Blazers
2016.11.14Portland Trail Blazers112 : 105Denver Nuggets