Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Boston CelticsHOME · -
98 : 882016.04.14 · 종료
Miami HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADES
Boston CelticsAnalysis MetricsMiami Heat
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+11.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.42
223.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
243.25
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Boston Celtics
L · 100-114L · 118-107W · 124-109W · 104-97W · 100-107
Miami Heat
W · 93-99W · 118-96L · 112-109W · 106-98W · 107-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.09.28 | Miami Heat | 125 : 113 | Boston Celtics |
| 2020.09.26 | Boston Celtics | 121 : 108 | Miami Heat |
| 2020.09.24 | Miami Heat | 112 : 109 | Boston Celtics |
| 2020.09.20 | Miami Heat | 106 : 117 | Boston Celtics |
| 2020.09.18 | Boston Celtics | 101 : 106 | Miami Heat |
| 2020.08.05 | Miami Heat | 112 : 106 | Boston Celtics |
| 2020.01.29 | Miami Heat | 101 : 109 | Boston Celtics |
| 2019.12.05 | Boston Celtics | 112 : 93 | Miami Heat |
| 2018.07.15 | Boston Celtics | 74 : 72 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.03.27 | Boston Celtics | 112 : 108 | Miami Heat |