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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Detroit PistonsHOME · -
93 : 992016.04.13 · 종료
Miami HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADES
Detroit PistonsAnalysis MetricsMiami Heat
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+9.00 Point MarginHigher is better -5.42
214.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 243.25
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Detroit Pistons
W · 112-99W · 104-108L · 107-89W · 90-94L · 89-98
Miami Heat
W · 118-96L · 112-109W · 106-98W · 107-89L · 110-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.24Miami Heat111 : 128Detroit Pistons
2019.11.13Miami Heat117 : 108Detroit Pistons
2017.03.29Detroit Pistons96 : 97Miami Heat
2017.01.29Miami Heat116 : 103Detroit Pistons
2017.01.02Miami Heat98 : 107Detroit Pistons
2016.11.24Detroit Pistons107 : 84Miami Heat
2016.07.08Miami Heat58 : 71Detroit Pistons
2016.04.13Detroit Pistons93 : 99Miami Heat
2016.04.06Miami Heat107 : 89Detroit Pistons
2015.12.23Miami Heat92 : 93Detroit Pistons