Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
102 : 982016.04.09 · 종료
San Antonio SpursAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.0%
VALUE EDGE+63.0%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsSan Antonio Spurs
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+3.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+12.67
230.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
226.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation11.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
L · 102-124L · 106-115L · 101-95W · 105-109L · 88-97
San Antonio Spurs
L · 112-101W · 86-88W · 102-95W · 100-92W · 87-101
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.08.06 | San Antonio Spurs | 126 : 132 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.02.11 | Denver Nuggets | 127 : 120 | San Antonio Spurs |
| 2017.02.05 | San Antonio Spurs | 121 : 97 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.01.20 | San Antonio Spurs | 118 : 104 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.01.06 | Denver Nuggets | 99 : 127 | San Antonio Spurs |
| 2016.04.09 | Denver Nuggets | 102 : 98 | San Antonio Spurs |
| 2015.12.27 | San Antonio Spurs | 101 : 86 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2015.11.28 | Denver Nuggets | 80 : 91 | San Antonio Spurs |
| 2015.11.19 | San Antonio Spurs | 109 : 98 | Denver Nuggets |