Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
107 : 892016.04.06 · 종료
Detroit PistonsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.0%
VALUE EDGE+65.0%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsDetroit Pistons
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.00
243.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
214.17
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
87.5%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.0 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
L · 110-93W · 106-112W · 110-99W · 108-97L · 112-88
Detroit Pistons
W · 90-94L · 89-98W · 88-82L · 95-112W · 112-105
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | Miami Heat | 111 : 128 | Detroit Pistons |
| 2019.11.13 | Miami Heat | 117 : 108 | Detroit Pistons |
| 2017.03.29 | Detroit Pistons | 96 : 97 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.01.29 | Miami Heat | 116 : 103 | Detroit Pistons |
| 2017.01.02 | Miami Heat | 98 : 107 | Detroit Pistons |
| 2016.11.24 | Detroit Pistons | 107 : 84 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.07.08 | Miami Heat | 58 : 71 | Detroit Pistons |
| 2016.04.13 | Detroit Pistons | 93 : 99 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.04.06 | Miami Heat | 107 : 89 | Detroit Pistons |
| 2015.12.23 | Miami Heat | 92 : 93 | Detroit Pistons |