Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
106 : 1152016.04.03 · 종료
Sacramento KingsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADES
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsSacramento Kings
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+3.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.42
230.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
228.42
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation8.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
L · 101-95W · 105-109L · 88-97L · 105-90W · 105-116
Sacramento Kings
L · 106-112W · 120-111L · 105-93W · 133-111W · 116-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.12.30 | Denver Nuggets | 120 : 115 | Sacramento Kings |
| 2019.10.29 | Sacramento Kings | 94 : 101 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.03.12 | Sacramento Kings | 92 : 105 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.03.07 | Denver Nuggets | 108 : 96 | Sacramento Kings |
| 2017.02.24 | Sacramento Kings | 116 : 100 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.01.04 | Denver Nuggets | 113 : 120 | Sacramento Kings |
| 2016.04.03 | Denver Nuggets | 106 : 115 | Sacramento Kings |
| 2016.02.24 | Denver Nuggets | 110 : 114 | Sacramento Kings |
| 2016.02.20 | Sacramento Kings | 116 : 110 | Denver Nuggets |