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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBA USA
New Orleans PelicansHOME · -
101 : 952016.04.01 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.9%
VALUE EDGE+53.9%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
New Orleans PelicansAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.67 Point MarginHigher is better +3.00
234.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 230.83
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
New Orleans Pelicans
L · 100-92W · 99-91L · 91-115L · 92-84L · 99-113
Denver Nuggets
W · 105-109L · 88-97L · 105-90W · 105-116W · 104-103

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.29New Orleans Pelicans91 : 104Denver Nuggets
2026.10.25Denver Nuggets141 : 135New Orleans Pelicans
2020.07.26New Orleans Pelicans119 : 104Denver Nuggets
2020.01.25New Orleans Pelicans106 : 113Denver Nuggets
2019.12.26Denver Nuggets100 : 112New Orleans Pelicans
2019.11.01New Orleans Pelicans122 : 107Denver Nuggets
2017.07.15Denver Nuggets96 : 91New Orleans Pelicans
2017.04.08Denver Nuggets122 : 106New Orleans Pelicans
2017.04.05New Orleans Pelicans131 : 134Denver Nuggets
2017.03.27Denver Nuggets90 : 115New Orleans Pelicans