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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
104 : 1032016.03.24 · 종료
Philadelphia 76ersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +75.3%
VALUE EDGE+75.3%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsPhiladelphia 76ers
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+3.00 Point MarginHigher is better +3.25
230.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 221.08
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
75.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
24.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
L · 124-91W · 93-101L · 116-98L · 116-110L · 124-119
Philadelphia 76ers
L · 91-75L · 105-120L · 97-111L · 94-99L · 131-114

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.12.11Philadelphia 76ers97 : 92Denver Nuggets
2019.11.09Denver Nuggets100 : 97Philadelphia 76ers
2016.12.31Denver Nuggets122 : 124Philadelphia 76ers
2016.12.06Philadelphia 76ers98 : 106Denver Nuggets
2016.03.24Denver Nuggets104 : 103Philadelphia 76ers
2015.12.06Philadelphia 76ers105 : 108Denver Nuggets