Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
New Orleans PelicansHOME · -
99 : 1132016.03.23 · 종료
Miami HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.1%
VALUE EDGE+63.1%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
New Orleans PelicansAnalysis MetricsMiami Heat
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+0.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.42
234.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
243.25
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation11.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
New Orleans Pelicans
W · 109-105L · 112-117W · 108-123L · 125-107L · 103-92
Miami Heat
W · 122-101L · 106-109W · 124-119W · 96-118L · 114-108
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.09 | Miami Heat | 128 : 118 | New Orleans Pelicans |
| 2020.03.07 | New Orleans Pelicans | 110 : 104 | Miami Heat |
| 2019.11.17 | Miami Heat | 109 : 94 | New Orleans Pelicans |
| 2018.07.13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 106 : 110 | Miami Heat |
| 2018.07.08 | New Orleans Pelicans | 110 : 84 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.03.16 | Miami Heat | 120 : 112 | New Orleans Pelicans |
| 2016.12.24 | New Orleans Pelicans | 91 : 87 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.03.23 | New Orleans Pelicans | 99 : 113 | Miami Heat |
| 2015.10.24 | New Orleans Pelicans | 93 : 90 | Miami Heat |