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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Atlanta HawksHOME · -
116 : 982016.03.18 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Atlanta HawksAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+4.92 Point MarginHigher is better +3.00
235.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 230.83
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atlanta Hawks
W · 114-118W · 104-75W · 95-83L · 104-96W · 84-91
Denver Nuggets
L · 116-110L · 124-119W · 116-100W · 116-98W · 110-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.01.07Atlanta Hawks115 : 123Denver Nuggets
2019.11.13Denver Nuggets121 : 125Atlanta Hawks
2017.02.09Atlanta Hawks117 : 106Denver Nuggets
2016.12.24Denver Nuggets108 : 109Atlanta Hawks
2016.03.18Atlanta Hawks116 : 98Denver Nuggets
2016.01.26Denver Nuggets105 : 119Atlanta Hawks