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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Golden State WarriorsHOME · -
121 : 1062016.03.04 · 종료
Oklahoma City ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.8%
VALUE EDGE+68.8%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEB
Golden State WarriorsAnalysis MetricsOklahoma City Thunder
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+6.00 Point MarginHigher is better +4.58
229.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 216.25
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Golden State Warriors
W · 114-130W · 112-118W · 92-102W · 112-115L · 137-105
Oklahoma City Thunder
L · 103-98W · 116-131L · 123-119W · 103-116L · 92-115

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2021.08.14Oklahoma City Thunder84 : 94Golden State Warriors
2019.11.26Golden State Warriors97 : 100Oklahoma City Thunder
2019.11.10Oklahoma City Thunder114 : 108Golden State Warriors
2019.10.28Oklahoma City Thunder120 : 92Golden State Warriors
2017.03.21Oklahoma City Thunder95 : 111Golden State Warriors
2017.02.12Oklahoma City Thunder114 : 130Golden State Warriors
2017.01.19Golden State Warriors121 : 100Oklahoma City Thunder
2016.11.04Golden State Warriors122 : 96Oklahoma City Thunder
2016.05.31Golden State Warriors96 : 88Oklahoma City Thunder
2016.05.29Oklahoma City Thunder101 : 108Golden State Warriors