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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Dallas MavericksHOME · -
101 : 1042016.03.04 · 종료
Sacramento KingsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.7%
VALUE EDGE+66.7%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADES
Dallas MavericksAnalysis MetricsSacramento Kings
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+0.00 Point MarginHigher is better -14.42
224.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 228.42
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation14.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dallas Mavericks
W · 121-108W · 128-101L · 103-116W · 129-103L · 90-116
Sacramento Kings
L · 104-98L · 116-131L · 107-117L · 92-108W · 110-114

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.03Dallas Mavericks100 : 115Sacramento Kings
2021.08.16Sacramento Kings86 : 70Dallas Mavericks
2020.02.13Dallas Mavericks130 : 111Sacramento Kings
2020.01.16Sacramento Kings123 : 127Dallas Mavericks
2019.12.09Dallas Mavericks106 : 110Sacramento Kings
2017.07.14Dallas Mavericks83 : 76Sacramento Kings
2017.04.05Sacramento Kings98 : 87Dallas Mavericks
2016.12.19Dallas Mavericks99 : 79Sacramento Kings
2016.12.08Dallas Mavericks89 : 120Sacramento Kings
2016.03.28Sacramento Kings133 : 111Dallas Mavericks