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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
108 : 922016.03.04 · 종료
Phoenix SunsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +83.5%
VALUE EDGE+83.5%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsPhoenix Suns
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-5.42 Point MarginHigher is better -6.33
243.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 229.17
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
83.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
16.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
W · 129-111W · 81-98L · 101-89L · 112-118W · 114-94
Phoenix Suns
L · 126-92W · 111-106L · 106-116L · 124-84L · 111-118

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.08.09Miami Heat112 : 119Phoenix Suns
2019.11.08Phoenix Suns108 : 124Miami Heat
2017.03.22Miami Heat112 : 97Phoenix Suns
2017.01.04Phoenix Suns99 : 90Miami Heat
2016.03.04Miami Heat108 : 92Phoenix Suns
2016.01.09Phoenix Suns95 : 103Miami Heat