Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
129 : 1112016.03.02 · 종료
Chicago BullsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.3%
VALUE EDGE+61.3%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsChicago Bulls
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.75
243.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
243.08
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
W · 81-98L · 101-89L · 112-118W · 114-94W · 111-115
Chicago Bulls
L · 95-103L · 103-88W · 109-104W · 126-115W · 116-106
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.11.23 | Chicago Bulls | 108 : 116 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.01.28 | Chicago Bulls | 88 : 100 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.12.11 | Chicago Bulls | 105 : 100 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.11.11 | Miami Heat | 95 : 98 | Chicago Bulls |
| 2016.04.08 | Miami Heat | 106 : 98 | Chicago Bulls |
| 2016.03.12 | Chicago Bulls | 96 : 118 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.03.02 | Miami Heat | 129 : 111 | Chicago Bulls |
| 2016.01.26 | Chicago Bulls | 84 : 89 | Miami Heat |