Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
96 : 1032016.03.01 · 종료
Memphis GrizzliesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.1%
VALUE EDGE+56.1%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsMemphis Grizzlies
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+3.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.08
230.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
227.08
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
W · 81-87L · 110-114L · 101-121L · 116-110W · 92-103
Memphis Grizzlies
L · 111-106W · 95-112W · 128-119L · 98-85W · 109-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.01.29 | Memphis Grizzlies | 104 : 96 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.12.29 | Denver Nuggets | 119 : 110 | Memphis Grizzlies |
| 2019.11.18 | Memphis Grizzlies | 114 : 131 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.02.27 | Denver Nuggets | 98 : 105 | Memphis Grizzlies |
| 2017.02.02 | Denver Nuggets | 99 : 119 | Memphis Grizzlies |
| 2016.11.09 | Memphis Grizzlies | 108 : 107 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.03.31 | Memphis Grizzlies | 105 : 109 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.03.01 | Denver Nuggets | 96 : 103 | Memphis Grizzlies |
| 2016.01.22 | Denver Nuggets | 101 : 102 | Memphis Grizzlies |
| 2016.01.09 | Memphis Grizzlies | 91 : 84 | Denver Nuggets |