Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
101 : 1212016.02.22 · 종료
Boston CelticsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.9%
VALUE EDGE+55.9%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsBoston Celtics
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+3.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.25
230.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
220.42
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
L · 116-110W · 92-103L · 105-104W · 96-101W · 115-110
Boston Celtics
L · 111-93L · 112-111W · 128-119W · 103-104W · 102-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021.08.11 | Denver Nuggets | 82 : 107 | Boston Celtics |
| 2019.12.07 | Boston Celtics | 108 : 95 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.11.23 | Denver Nuggets | 96 : 92 | Boston Celtics |
| 2018.07.08 | Denver Nuggets | 82 : 69 | Boston Celtics |
| 2017.03.11 | Denver Nuggets | 119 : 99 | Boston Celtics |
| 2016.11.07 | Boston Celtics | 107 : 123 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.02.22 | Denver Nuggets | 101 : 121 | Boston Celtics |
| 2016.01.28 | Boston Celtics | 111 : 103 | Denver Nuggets |