Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
114 : 942016.02.21 · 종료
Washington WizardsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.6%
VALUE EDGE+51.6%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsWashington Wizards
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
241.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
222.42
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.4 / 15
Prediction separation1.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
W · 111-115L · 101-119L · 93-100W · 95-98W · 90-93
Washington Wizards
W · 98-86W · 103-89L · 99-92W · 108-111L · 108-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.03.09 | Washington Wizards | 89 : 100 | Miami Heat |
| 2019.12.31 | Washington Wizards | 123 : 105 | Miami Heat |
| 2019.12.07 | Miami Heat | 112 : 103 | Washington Wizards |
| 2017.07.13 | Miami Heat | 89 : 88 | Washington Wizards |
| 2017.07.11 | Washington Wizards | 87 : 91 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.04.13 | Miami Heat | 110 : 102 | Washington Wizards |
| 2017.04.09 | Washington Wizards | 103 : 106 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.12.13 | Miami Heat | 112 : 101 | Washington Wizards |
| 2016.11.20 | Washington Wizards | 111 : 114 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.10.05 | Washington Wizards | 95 : 106 | Miami Heat |