Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Dallas MavericksHOME · -
90 : 932016.02.04 · 종료
Miami HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.6%
VALUE EDGE+68.6%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Dallas MavericksAnalysis MetricsMiami Heat
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+1.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
222.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
241.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dallas Mavericks
L · 112-97W · 91-78W · 91-79L · 127-107W · 90-92
Miami Heat
L · 115-102W · 105-87W · 103-107W · 98-102W · 84-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.27 | Miami Heat | 109 : 113 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2021.08.18 | Miami Heat | 82 : 83 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2020.02.29 | Miami Heat | 126 : 118 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2017.07.12 | Dallas Mavericks | 78 : 73 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.02.28 | Dallas Mavericks | 96 : 89 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.01.20 | Miami Heat | 99 : 95 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2016.02.04 | Dallas Mavericks | 90 : 93 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.01.02 | Miami Heat | 106 : 82 | Dallas Mavericks |