Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
112 : 932016.02.02 · 종료
Toronto RaptorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.6%
VALUE EDGE+63.6%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsToronto Raptors
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+3.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.75
230.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
235.08
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
2.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
W · 113-117L · 111-103L · 105-119W · 104-101L · 101-102
Toronto Raptors
W · 111-107W · 103-93W · 106-89W · 112-94W · 101-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.05 | Denver Nuggets | 128 : 109 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2020.08.15 | Toronto Raptors | 117 : 109 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.03.02 | Denver Nuggets | 133 : 118 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2018.07.12 | Denver Nuggets | 77 : 85 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2017.07.11 | Toronto Raptors | 82 : 81 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.11.01 | Toronto Raptors | 105 : 102 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.10.04 | Toronto Raptors | 106 : 108 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.02.02 | Denver Nuggets | 112 : 93 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2015.12.04 | Toronto Raptors | 105 : 106 | Denver Nuggets |