Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Washington WizardsHOME · -
113 : 1172016.01.29 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.2%
VALUE EDGE+54.2%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
Washington WizardsAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.00
222.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
230.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation3.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Washington Wizards
L · 106-89L · 91-116W · 106-87L · 98-108L · 117-119
Denver Nuggets
L · 111-103L · 105-119W · 104-101L · 101-102L · 104-110
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.07.23 | Denver Nuggets | 89 : 82 | Washington Wizards |
| 2020.01.05 | Washington Wizards | 128 : 114 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.11.27 | Denver Nuggets | 117 : 104 | Washington Wizards |
| 2017.03.09 | Denver Nuggets | 113 : 123 | Washington Wizards |
| 2016.12.09 | Washington Wizards | 92 : 85 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.03.13 | Denver Nuggets | 116 : 100 | Washington Wizards |
| 2016.01.29 | Washington Wizards | 113 : 117 | Denver Nuggets |