Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA

Toronto RaptorsHOME · -
101 : 812016.01.23 · 종료
Miami HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.7%
VALUE EDGE+65.7%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
Toronto RaptorsAnalysis MetricsMiami Heat
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+7.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
235.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
241.00
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation13.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toronto Raptors
W · 115-109W · 112-100W · 95-108W · 88-97W · 74-91
Miami Heat
L · 106-87L · 79-91L · 99-74W · 95-98L · 104-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.08.04 | Miami Heat | 103 : 107 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2020.01.03 | Miami Heat | 84 : 76 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2017.04.08 | Toronto Raptors | 96 : 94 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.03.24 | Miami Heat | 84 : 101 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2017.03.12 | Miami Heat | 104 : 89 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2016.11.05 | Toronto Raptors | 96 : 87 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.05.16 | Toronto Raptors | 116 : 89 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.05.14 | Miami Heat | 103 : 91 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2016.05.12 | Toronto Raptors | 99 : 91 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.05.08 | Miami Heat | 91 : 95 | Toronto Raptors |