Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Oklahoma City ThunderHOME · -
99 : 742016.01.18 · 종료
Miami HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.8%
VALUE EDGE+71.8%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADES
Oklahoma City ThunderAnalysis MetricsMiami Heat
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+4.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
216.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
241.00
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Oklahoma City Thunder
W · 113-93W · 108-89W · 96-101L · 115-110W · 113-117
Miami Heat
W · 95-98L · 104-90L · 111-103L · 98-83W · 95-103
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.08.13 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 116 : 115 | Miami Heat |
| 2020.01.18 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 108 : 115 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.12.28 | Miami Heat | 94 : 106 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2016.11.08 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 97 : 85 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.07.08 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 86 : 72 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.01.18 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 99 : 74 | Miami Heat |
| 2015.12.04 | Miami Heat | 97 : 95 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2014.07.12 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 103 : 98 | Miami Heat |