Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
95 : 982016.01.16 · 종료
Miami HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.8%
VALUE EDGE+56.8%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsMiami Heat
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+3.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
230.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
241.00
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation5.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
W · 112-110W · 95-92L · 91-84W · 74-78L · 106-112
Miami Heat
L · 104-90L · 111-103L · 98-83W · 95-103L · 90-98
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021.08.09 | Miami Heat | 97 : 77 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.08.02 | Denver Nuggets | 105 : 125 | Miami Heat |
| 2019.11.06 | Denver Nuggets | 109 : 89 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.04.03 | Miami Heat | 113 : 116 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.12.01 | Denver Nuggets | 98 : 106 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.03.15 | Miami Heat | 124 : 119 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.01.16 | Denver Nuggets | 95 : 98 | Miami Heat |