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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
95 : 922016.01.11 · 종료
Charlotte HornetsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.6%
VALUE EDGE+50.6%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsCharlotte Hornets
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+3.00 Point MarginHigher is better -14.83
230.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 207.17
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation0.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
L · 91-84W · 74-78L · 106-112L · 110-103L · 87-93
Charlotte Hornets
L · 97-83L · 111-102L · 111-101L · 90-109L · 104-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.03.06Charlotte Hornets112 : 114Denver Nuggets
2020.01.16Denver Nuggets100 : 86Charlotte Hornets
2017.04.01Charlotte Hornets122 : 114Denver Nuggets
2017.03.05Denver Nuggets102 : 112Charlotte Hornets
2016.03.20Charlotte Hornets93 : 101Denver Nuggets
2016.01.11Denver Nuggets95 : 92Charlotte Hornets