Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Minnesota TimberwolvesHOME · -
74 : 782016.01.07 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.3%
VALUE EDGE+54.3%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Minnesota TimberwolvesAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+8.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.00
227.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
230.83
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Minnesota Timberwolves
L · 109-99L · 85-95L · 115-90W · 94-80L · 101-95
Denver Nuggets
L · 106-112L · 110-103L · 87-93L · 122-112L · 101-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.02.24 | Denver Nuggets | 128 : 116 | Minnesota Timberwolves |
| 2020.01.21 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 100 : 107 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.12.21 | Denver Nuggets | 109 : 100 | Minnesota Timberwolves |
| 2018.07.14 | Denver Nuggets | 71 : 83 | Minnesota Timberwolves |
| 2018.07.07 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 69 : 70 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.07.10 | Denver Nuggets | 71 : 90 | Minnesota Timberwolves |
| 2017.02.16 | Denver Nuggets | 99 : 112 | Minnesota Timberwolves |
| 2017.01.23 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 111 : 108 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.12.29 | Denver Nuggets | 105 : 103 | Minnesota Timberwolves |
| 2016.11.04 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 99 : 102 | Denver Nuggets |