Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
106 : 822016.01.02 · 종료
Dallas MavericksAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.4%
VALUE EDGE+52.4%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsDallas Mavericks
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
241.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
222.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
L · 105-111W · 101-108L · 92-93W · 116-109L · 94-108
Dallas Mavericks
W · 114-91W · 103-93W · 118-111L · 103-99W · 97-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.27 | Miami Heat | 109 : 113 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2021.08.18 | Miami Heat | 82 : 83 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2020.02.29 | Miami Heat | 126 : 118 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2017.07.12 | Dallas Mavericks | 78 : 73 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.02.28 | Dallas Mavericks | 96 : 89 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.01.20 | Miami Heat | 99 : 95 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2016.02.04 | Dallas Mavericks | 90 : 93 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.01.02 | Miami Heat | 106 : 82 | Dallas Mavericks |