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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Phoenix SunsHOME · -
96 : 1042015.12.24 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.7%
VALUE EDGE+61.7%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Phoenix SunsAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-6.33 Point MarginHigher is better +3.00
229.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 230.83
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Phoenix Suns
L · 110-89L · 95-101W · 104-88L · 128-103L · 104-94
Denver Nuggets
L · 107-111L · 125-130L · 97-88W · 100-112W · 114-108

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.31Phoenix Suns120 : 127Denver Nuggets
2021.08.13Denver Nuggets84 : 90Phoenix Suns
2020.02.09Phoenix Suns108 : 117Denver Nuggets
2019.12.24Phoenix Suns111 : 113Denver Nuggets
2019.11.25Denver Nuggets116 : 104Phoenix Suns
2019.10.15Phoenix Suns102 : 107Denver Nuggets
2017.01.29Phoenix Suns112 : 123Denver Nuggets
2017.01.27Denver Nuggets127 : 120Phoenix Suns
2016.11.28Phoenix Suns114 : 120Denver Nuggets
2016.11.17Denver Nuggets120 : 104Phoenix Suns