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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
92 : 932015.12.23 · 종료
Detroit PistonsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.4%
VALUE EDGE+52.4%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsDetroit Pistons
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-4.83 Point MarginHigher is better +9.00
241.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 214.17
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 87.5%
2.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
W · 116-109L · 94-108W · 98-104W · 88-100W · 100-97
Detroit Pistons
W · 119-116W · 118-96W · 95-107L · 92-93L · 104-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.24Miami Heat111 : 128Detroit Pistons
2019.11.13Miami Heat117 : 108Detroit Pistons
2017.03.29Detroit Pistons96 : 97Miami Heat
2017.01.29Miami Heat116 : 103Detroit Pistons
2017.01.02Miami Heat98 : 107Detroit Pistons
2016.11.24Detroit Pistons107 : 84Miami Heat
2016.07.08Miami Heat58 : 71Detroit Pistons
2016.04.13Detroit Pistons93 : 99Miami Heat
2016.04.06Miami Heat107 : 89Detroit Pistons
2015.12.23Miami Heat92 : 93Detroit Pistons