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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBA USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
125 : 1302015.12.21 · 종료
New Orleans PelicansAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.8%
VALUE EDGE+53.8%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsNew Orleans Pelicans
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+3.00 Point MarginHigher is better +0.17
230.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 235.33
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
L · 97-88W · 100-112W · 114-108L · 74-85W · 105-108
New Orleans Pelicans
L · 104-88W · 94-104L · 105-101L · 98-94W · 107-105

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.29New Orleans Pelicans91 : 104Denver Nuggets
2026.10.25Denver Nuggets141 : 135New Orleans Pelicans
2020.07.26New Orleans Pelicans119 : 104Denver Nuggets
2020.01.25New Orleans Pelicans106 : 113Denver Nuggets
2019.12.26Denver Nuggets100 : 112New Orleans Pelicans
2019.11.01New Orleans Pelicans122 : 107Denver Nuggets
2017.07.15Denver Nuggets96 : 91New Orleans Pelicans
2017.04.08Denver Nuggets122 : 106New Orleans Pelicans
2017.04.05New Orleans Pelicans131 : 134Denver Nuggets
2017.03.27Denver Nuggets90 : 115New Orleans Pelicans