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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
116 : 1092015.12.21 · 종료
Portland Trail BlazersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsPortland Trail Blazers
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.83 Point MarginHigher is better +4.75
241.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 232.75
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
1.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
L · 94-108W · 98-104W · 88-100W · 100-97L · 96-83
Portland Trail Blazers
L · 102-94L · 106-90W · 105-101L · 110-112W · 96-106

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.02.10Portland Trail Blazers115 : 109Miami Heat
2020.01.06Miami Heat122 : 111Portland Trail Blazers
2017.03.20Miami Heat104 : 115Portland Trail Blazers
2016.12.04Portland Trail Blazers99 : 92Miami Heat
2016.04.03Portland Trail Blazers110 : 93Miami Heat
2015.12.21Miami Heat116 : 109Portland Trail Blazers