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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Dallas MavericksHOME · -
97 : 882015.12.19 · 종료
Memphis GrizzliesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.3%
VALUE EDGE+58.3%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Dallas MavericksAnalysis MetricsMemphis Grizzlies
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better +6.08
222.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 227.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.0 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dallas Mavericks
L · 107-81W · 104-94L · 111-114L · 95-98W · 97-104
Memphis Grizzlies
L · 98-85W · 112-95L · 100-97L · 99-123W · 92-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.03.07Dallas Mavericks121 : 96Memphis Grizzlies
2020.02.06Dallas Mavericks107 : 121Memphis Grizzlies
2019.11.10Memphis Grizzlies122 : 138Dallas Mavericks
2017.04.13Memphis Grizzlies93 : 100Dallas Mavericks
2017.04.01Memphis Grizzlies99 : 90Dallas Mavericks
2017.03.04Dallas Mavericks104 : 100Memphis Grizzlies
2016.11.19Dallas Mavericks64 : 80Memphis Grizzlies
2016.04.09Dallas Mavericks103 : 93Memphis Grizzlies
2015.12.19Dallas Mavericks97 : 88Memphis Grizzlies
2015.11.25Memphis Grizzlies110 : 96Dallas Mavericks