Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
94 : 1082015.12.19 · 종료
Toronto RaptorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.1%
VALUE EDGE+58.1%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsToronto Raptors
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.75
241.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
235.08
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation6.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
W · 98-104W · 88-100W · 100-97L · 96-83L · 99-81
Toronto Raptors
L · 106-90W · 96-76W · 90-83W · 97-94W · 102-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.08.04 | Miami Heat | 103 : 107 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2020.01.03 | Miami Heat | 84 : 76 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2017.04.08 | Toronto Raptors | 96 : 94 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.03.24 | Miami Heat | 84 : 101 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2017.03.12 | Miami Heat | 104 : 89 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2016.11.05 | Toronto Raptors | 96 : 87 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.05.16 | Toronto Raptors | 116 : 89 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.05.14 | Miami Heat | 103 : 91 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2016.05.12 | Toronto Raptors | 99 : 91 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.05.08 | Miami Heat | 91 : 95 | Toronto Raptors |