Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Dallas MavericksHOME · -
111 : 1142015.12.13 · 종료
Washington WizardsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.1%
VALUE EDGE+64.1%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
Dallas MavericksAnalysis MetricsWashington Wizards
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+1.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
222.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
222.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dallas Mavericks
L · 95-98W · 97-104W · 104-116L · 96-100L · 112-98
Washington Wizards
L · 107-105L · 103-109W · 103-114L · 104-116W · 109-106
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.02.08 | Washington Wizards | 119 : 118 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2019.10.24 | Dallas Mavericks | 108 : 100 | Washington Wizards |
| 2018.07.14 | Dallas Mavericks | 96 : 92 | Washington Wizards |
| 2017.03.16 | Washington Wizards | 107 : 112 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2017.01.04 | Dallas Mavericks | 113 : 105 | Washington Wizards |
| 2015.12.13 | Dallas Mavericks | 111 : 114 | Washington Wizards |
| 2015.12.07 | Washington Wizards | 104 : 116 | Dallas Mavericks |