Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
74 : 852015.12.09 · 종료
Orlando MagicAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.1%
VALUE EDGE+56.1%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsOrlando Magic
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+1.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.00
229.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
227.67
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
W · 105-108W · 105-106L · 99-90L · 92-74L · 92-81
Orlando Magic
L · 103-101W · 94-103W · 93-96W · 110-91W · 114-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.07.28 | Denver Nuggets | 110 : 114 | Orlando Magic |
| 2019.12.19 | Denver Nuggets | 113 : 104 | Orlando Magic |
| 2019.11.03 | Orlando Magic | 87 : 91 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.01.17 | Denver Nuggets | 125 : 112 | Orlando Magic |
| 2016.12.11 | Orlando Magic | 113 : 121 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.03.16 | Orlando Magic | 116 : 110 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2015.12.09 | Denver Nuggets | 74 : 85 | Orlando Magic |