Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
103 : 1142015.12.08 · 종료
Washington WizardsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.4%
VALUE EDGE+72.4%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsWashington Wizards
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.92
241.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
220.75
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
W · 99-84W · 97-95L · 95-105W · 78-97L · 104-81
Washington Wizards
L · 104-116W · 109-106L · 104-108W · 85-97L · 82-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.03.09 | Washington Wizards | 89 : 100 | Miami Heat |
| 2019.12.31 | Washington Wizards | 123 : 105 | Miami Heat |
| 2019.12.07 | Miami Heat | 112 : 103 | Washington Wizards |
| 2017.07.13 | Miami Heat | 89 : 88 | Washington Wizards |
| 2017.07.11 | Washington Wizards | 87 : 91 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.04.13 | Miami Heat | 110 : 102 | Washington Wizards |
| 2017.04.09 | Washington Wizards | 103 : 106 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.12.13 | Miami Heat | 112 : 101 | Washington Wizards |
| 2016.11.20 | Washington Wizards | 111 : 114 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.10.05 | Washington Wizards | 95 : 106 | Miami Heat |