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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Washington WizardsHOME · -
104 : 1162015.12.07 · 종료
Dallas MavericksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.2%
VALUE EDGE+50.2%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
Washington WizardsAnalysis MetricsDallas Mavericks
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-4.92 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25
220.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 226.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Washington Wizards
W · 109-106L · 104-108W · 85-97L · 82-84L · 111-78
Dallas Mavericks
L · 96-100L · 112-98W · 92-81L · 88-83L · 110-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.02.08Washington Wizards119 : 118Dallas Mavericks
2019.10.24Dallas Mavericks108 : 100Washington Wizards
2018.07.14Dallas Mavericks96 : 92Washington Wizards
2017.03.16Washington Wizards107 : 112Dallas Mavericks
2017.01.04Dallas Mavericks113 : 105Washington Wizards
2015.12.13Dallas Mavericks111 : 114Washington Wizards
2015.12.07Washington Wizards104 : 116Dallas Mavericks