Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Philadelphia 76ersHOME · -
105 : 1082015.12.06 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.2%
VALUE EDGE+53.2%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Philadelphia 76ersAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
221.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
229.75
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
2.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Philadelphia 76ers
L · 99-87W · 103-91L · 92-84L · 116-114L · 84-80
Denver Nuggets
W · 105-106L · 99-90L · 92-74L · 92-81L · 80-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.12.11 | Philadelphia 76ers | 97 : 92 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.11.09 | Denver Nuggets | 100 : 97 | Philadelphia 76ers |
| 2016.12.31 | Denver Nuggets | 122 : 124 | Philadelphia 76ers |
| 2016.12.06 | Philadelphia 76ers | 98 : 106 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.03.24 | Denver Nuggets | 104 : 103 | Philadelphia 76ers |
| 2015.12.06 | Philadelphia 76ers | 105 : 108 | Denver Nuggets |