Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Toronto RaptorsHOME · -
105 : 1062015.12.04 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.6%
VALUE EDGE+74.6%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEB
Toronto RaptorsAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
232.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
229.75
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toronto Raptors
W · 86-96L · 102-107W · 82-84W · 103-99W · 80-91
Denver Nuggets
L · 99-90L · 92-74L · 92-81L · 80-91L · 94-111
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.05 | Denver Nuggets | 128 : 109 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2020.08.15 | Toronto Raptors | 117 : 109 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.03.02 | Denver Nuggets | 133 : 118 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2018.07.12 | Denver Nuggets | 77 : 85 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2017.07.11 | Toronto Raptors | 82 : 81 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.11.01 | Toronto Raptors | 105 : 102 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.10.04 | Toronto Raptors | 106 : 108 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.02.02 | Denver Nuggets | 112 : 93 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2015.12.04 | Toronto Raptors | 105 : 106 | Denver Nuggets |