Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
97 : 952015.12.04 · 종료
Oklahoma City ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.0%
VALUE EDGE+50.0%
FAIR ODDS2.00
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsOklahoma City Thunder
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.58
241.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
216.25
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation0.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
L · 95-105W · 78-97L · 104-81W · 95-78W · 96-91
Oklahoma City Thunder
L · 106-100W · 103-87W · 110-99W · 89-111W · 117-114
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.08.13 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 116 : 115 | Miami Heat |
| 2020.01.18 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 108 : 115 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.12.28 | Miami Heat | 94 : 106 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2016.11.08 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 97 : 85 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.07.08 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 86 : 72 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.01.18 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 99 : 74 | Miami Heat |
| 2015.12.04 | Miami Heat | 97 : 95 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2014.07.12 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 103 : 98 | Miami Heat |