Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
95 : 1052015.12.01 · 종료
Boston CelticsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.5%
VALUE EDGE+64.5%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsBoston Celtics
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.25
241.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
220.42
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
W · 78-97L · 104-81W · 95-78W · 96-91W · 116-109
Boston Celtics
L · 110-91W · 111-78W · 84-80L · 121-97L · 111-101
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.09.28 | Miami Heat | 125 : 113 | Boston Celtics |
| 2020.09.26 | Boston Celtics | 121 : 108 | Miami Heat |
| 2020.09.24 | Miami Heat | 112 : 109 | Boston Celtics |
| 2020.09.20 | Miami Heat | 106 : 117 | Boston Celtics |
| 2020.09.18 | Boston Celtics | 101 : 106 | Miami Heat |
| 2020.08.05 | Miami Heat | 112 : 106 | Boston Celtics |
| 2020.01.29 | Miami Heat | 101 : 109 | Boston Celtics |
| 2019.12.05 | Boston Celtics | 112 : 93 | Miami Heat |
| 2018.07.15 | Boston Celtics | 74 : 72 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.03.27 | Boston Celtics | 112 : 108 | Miami Heat |